HomenbaEvery NFL team's record against the spread and more

Every NFL team’s record against the spread and more

The year of the ‘dog? There is still plenty of season left, but each of the first three weeks of the 2021 season has seen the underdogs cover more often than the favorites. After an even mark through two weeks, unders cashed in a big way last week, and it’s a trend worth monitoring as the weather begins to cool.

NFL ATS trends

ATS TRENDS W-L-T PCT
Away Teams 26-22 54.2%
Home Teams 22-26 45.3%
Favorites 19-29 39.6%
Underdogs 29-19 60.4%
Away Favorites 8-11 42.1%
Away Underdogs 18-11 62.1%
Home Favorites 11-18 37.9%
Home Underdogs 11-8 57.9%
TOTAL TRENDS COUNT PCT
Over 21 43.8%
Under 28 56.1%
Push 0

AFC East

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 2-1

What we know: Since the beginning of last season, the over has hit in 12 Buffalo games and the Bills have covered in nine of those instances.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 0-3

What we know: Unders are 13-5-1 in the post-Brady era for the Patriots, continuing the trend that presented itself in the final two years with the GOAT (unders: 20-12).

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 2-1

What we know: The Dolphins have covered the number in 11 of their past 14 home games and host the Colts this weekend.

ATS: 0-3
O/U: 0-3

What we know: The Jets have opened this season with three straight losses ATS (four straight dating back to last season). This coming on the heels of losing their first six ATS last season.

AFC North

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 2-1

What we know: Bridging the 2019 and 2020 seasons, the Ravens had won 10 straight road games outright (7-1-2 ATS), but since then they are just 3-3 away from Baltimore (3-3 ATS). They travel to the thin air of Denver this weekend to try to rediscover their road dominance.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 0-3

What we know: For just the second time in 20 seasons, the under has hit in each of Pittsburgh’s first three games (also in 2017).

1 Related

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 1-2

What we know: Unders have cashed in seven of Cincinnati’s past 10 games.

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 2-1

What we know: The Browns are 3-1 ATS in their past four road games. Maybe that doesn’t sound impressive, but considering they were 1-10 ATS in their previous 11 away from Cleveland, it’s a strong run of beating the books!

AFC South

ATS: 0-3
O/U: 1-2

What we know: The Jags have lost 18 straight outright, going 6-12 ATS over that stretch. Vegas has been spot on with the point totals, however, as unders are 9-8-1.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 1-2

What we know: The Colts have failed to cover in five of their past six games, and the only time they did manage to cover was Week 2 against the Rams, a game they lost by 3 as 6.5-point underdogs.

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 1-2

What we know: Overs are 6-3 in the nine instances during the Ryan Tannehill era in Tennessee when the Titans are road favorites.

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 2-1

What we know: The Texans failed to cover their first four road games of 2020 but are 4-1 ATS away from home since (including two weeks ago in Cleveland).

AFC West

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 0-3

What we know: The last three instances in which the Chargers have been favored against the Raiders, they’ve not only failed to cover, they’ve lost outright.

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ATS: 3-0
O/U: 0-3

What we know: The Broncos have covered each of their first three games this season, the fourth time in the past seven seasons they have opened the season in such an overachieving manner.

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 2-1

What we know: The over has hit in five of Vegas’ past six games, thanks in large part due to how close the games are. All five of those overs came in a game decided by less than a touchdown.

ATS: 0-3
O/U: 2-1

What we know: The Chiefs haven’t lost consecutive road games outright since Weeks 11 and 13, 2017. Over that stretch, however, they’ve failed to cover consecutive road games twice, including a run of three straight late last season (Weeks 11, 12 and 14). They travel to Philly this weekend after losing as a favorite the last time they were away from Arrowhead.

NFC East

ATS: 0-3
O/U: 2-1

What we know: Under tickets cashed in the final five Washington games last regular season and did so again in Week 1, but each of their past two games have gone over the total by at least 17 points.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 1-2

What we know: The Giants are just 5-12 outright on the road since 2019, but they are 12-5 ATS in those games.

ATS: 3-0
O/U: 2-1

What we know: The Cowboys played Monday night last week and are thus on a shorter rest than normal heading into Sunday’s came against the Panthers. In their past 16 games in such spots, America’s Team is just 4-12 both outright and ATS.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 1-2

What we know: Unders are 11-3 in Philadelphia’s past 14 home games, including the Week 2 (17-11) loss to San Francisco. The Eagles welcome the Chiefs to Lincoln Financial on Sunday.

NFC North

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ATS: 2-1
O/U: 2-1

What we know: Since the beginning of 2019, the Packers are 6-2 ATS when playing at Lambeau in September or October, with the over hitting in five of those games. They both covered and cashed over tickets in their Week 2 home opener against the Lions (they host the Steelers this weekend).

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 1-2

What we know: The over has hit in consecutive Chicago home divisional games after the under came through in each of the previous four.

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 2-1

What we know: The over hit in all three of Detroit’s divisional road games last season, and (thanks mainly to the Packers) their first road divisional game of 2021 also went over the Vegas total.

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 2-1

What we know: Week 3 was the first Vikings home game that went under the total since Week 16, 2019 (overs were 8-0-1 over that stretch). They host the Browns this weekend.

NFC South

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 0-3

What we know: The over hit in 12 of the last 18 home games during the Drew Brees era in New Orleans, but the under cashed in the Saints’ Week 1 38-3 win over the Packers. They host the Giants on Sunday afternoon.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 3-0

What we know: The Bucs are 10-1 outright over their past 11 games (playoffs included), a run that includes a 7-4 stretch ATS and 7-4 in favor of overs.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 1-2

What we know: The Falcons are just 3-6 ATS at home since the beginning of last season (that included failing to cover in each of their first four such games last season). In Week 4, Washington makes the trip to Atlanta.

ATS: 3-0
O/U: 0-3

What we know: With their cover last Thursday night, the Panthers ran their road cover streak up to eight straight (it’s been over a calendar year since they failed to cover in Tampa Bay). They host a Cowboys team that is on short rest after playing Monday in Week 3.

NFC West

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 1-2

What we know: Unders have cashed in six of Arizona’s past nine divisional games, but two of the instances where the over hit have come against their Week 4 opponent — the Rams.

ATS: 2-1
O/U: 3-0

What we know: Sean McVay is not only undefeated against the Cardinals since taking over the Rams, he’s a perfect 8-0 ATS.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 0-3

What we know: Seattle’s offense is fun, but is it overstated in the betting market? The under has hit in seven of their past nine, including last week by seven points in the loss to the Vikings.

ATS: 1-2
O/U: 2-1

What we know: Odd, but true; the over has hit in each of San Francisco’s past six games played on an odd-numbered week, while the under has hit in each of their past five even-numbered weeks. Seems to be an action/reaction thing for them, and for those keeping track at home, we are entering Week 4 of the NFL season.

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